(click the download icon above to get the spreadsheet with historical rankings)
Definitions:
Ticker = stock symbol of each component of the S&P 500
Prob = probability of that stock rising by any amount over the next 21 trading days, relative to the lowest probability stock (where Prob = 1)
Proj = projected size of the rise
Power = Prob multiplied by Proj
How we use this information:
Our primary portfolios, including 401Ks where individual stocks can be traded (such as Fidelity Brokeragelink), are made up of the top 15 ranked stocks. We add and remove stocks as the rankings change, typically 1-2 trades per day, and always remain 100% invested in the top 15 stocks. We have determined that this provides the most acceptable risk profile for our long-term stock investments.
